Berazategui vs Central Cordoba

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Berazategui vs Central Cordoba
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=43.0%, X=27.2%, 2=29.8%
• Double chance priority: 1X 70.2% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.3%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.33
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.02
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "1d5958ba-e643-5deb-9d86-83ac993c8435", "title": "Berazategui vs Central Cordoba", "home_team": "Berazategui", "away_team": "Central Cordoba", "competition": "Primera C", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "18:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 70.2, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 70.2%", "1X 70.2%", "Over 0.5 goals 83.3%", "BTTS No 51.7%", "Over 6.5 corners 66.5%", "Over 2.5 cards 68.2%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 70.2, "confidence": 0.612}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 70.2, "confidence": 0.586}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.6, "confidence": 0.52}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 83.3, "under": 16.7, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 83.3}, "1.5": {"over": 65.3, "under": 34.7, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 65.3}, "2.5": {"over": 44.4, "under": 55.6, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.6}, "3.5": {"over": 29.3, "under": 70.7, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 70.7}, "4.5": {"over": 11.3, "under": 88.7, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 88.7}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.85}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.85}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 51.7, "confidence": 0.504}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 66.5, "expected": 8.33, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.629, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.83}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 68.2, "expected": 4.02, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.646, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.52}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 43.0, "draw": 27.2, "away": 29.8}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.35, "over_2_5": 44.4, "under_2_5": 55.6, "btts": 48.3, "no_btts": 51.7, "expected_corners": 8.33, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 66.5, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.83}, "corners_over_8_5": 48.5, "expected_cards": 4.02, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 68.2, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.52}, "cards_over_3_5": 56.2, "data_depth": 496}, "confidence": 0.612, "reason_score": 56.39, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Berazategui vs Central Cordoba", "1X2 probabilities: 1=43.0%, X=27.2%, 2=29.8%", "Double chance priority: 1X 70.2% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.3%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.33", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.02", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}