Buenos Aires City vs Everton La Plata

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Buenos Aires City vs Everton La Plata
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=43.1%, X=25.5%, 2=31.4%
• Double chance priority: 1X 68.6% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 5.5 corners expected 7.67
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.19
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "b9f65e0c-b463-5b4c-806a-0ff26c3d1fcc", "title": "Buenos Aires City vs Everton La Plata", "home_team": "Buenos Aires City", "away_team": "Everton La Plata", "competition": "Torneo Promocional Amateur", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "17:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 68.6, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 68.6%", "1X 68.6%", "Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "BTTS No 53.7%", "Over 5.5 corners 69.5%", "Over 2.5 cards 70.3%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.6, "confidence": 0.487}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.6, "confidence": 0.462}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 54.5, "confidence": 0.401}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 84.2, "under": 15.8, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 84.2}, "1.5": {"over": 66.2, "under": 33.8, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 66.2}, "2.5": {"over": 45.5, "under": 54.5, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 54.5}, "3.5": {"over": 30.2, "under": 69.8, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 69.8}, "4.5": {"over": 12.2, "under": 87.8, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 87.8}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 53.7, "confidence": 0.396}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "probability": 69.5, "expected": 7.67, "line": 5.5, "confidence": 0.551, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "line": 5.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.5, "edge_from_expected": 2.17}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 70.3, "expected": 4.19, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.559, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.69}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 43.1, "draw": 25.5, "away": 31.4}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.4, "over_2_5": 45.5, "under_2_5": 54.5, "btts": 46.3, "no_btts": 53.7, "expected_corners": 7.67, "corners_line": 5.5, "corners_pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "corners_probability": 69.5, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "line": 5.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.5, "edge_from_expected": 2.17}, "corners_over_8_5": 42.5, "expected_cards": 4.19, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 70.3, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.69}, "cards_over_3_5": 58.3, "data_depth": 6}, "confidence": 0.487, "reason_score": 46.61, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Buenos Aires City vs Everton La Plata", "1X2 probabilities: 1=43.1%, X=25.5%, 2=31.4%", "Double chance priority: 1X 68.6% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 5.5 corners expected 7.67", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.19", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}