Match analysis
BackCA Nacional Potosi vs CDT Real Oruro
Score 118.7Confidence 0.36Kind subet
Model notes
- Team DNA comparison: CA Nacional Potosi vs CDT Real Oruro
- 1X2 probabilities: 1=42.1%, X=25.6%, 2=32.3%
- Double chance priority: 12 74.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
- Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%
- Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
- Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 7.99
- Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.2
- Importance weight: 1.0
- Coverage: minimal
Raw profile
{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "88274071", "title": "CA Nacional Potosi vs CDT Real Oruro", "home_team": "CA Nacional Potosi", "away_team": "CDT Real Oruro", "competition": "Bolivia", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "11:01", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 74.4, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 74.4%", "12 74.4%", "Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "BTTS No 54.2%", "Over 6.5 corners 63.4%", "Over 2.5 cards 70.4%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.4, "confidence": 0.359}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.4, "confidence": 0.484}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 56.2, "confidence": 0.382}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 84.2, "under": 15.8, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 84.2}, "1.5": {"over": 66.2, "under": 33.8, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 66.2}, "2.5": {"over": 43.8, "under": 56.2, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 56.2}, "3.5": {"over": 30.2, "under": 69.8, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 69.8}, "4.5": {"over": 12.2, "under": 87.8, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 87.8}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 54.2, "confidence": 0.362}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 63.4, "expected": 7.99, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.454, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.49}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 70.4, "expected": 4.2, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.524, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 42.1, "draw": 25.6, "away": 32.3}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.4, "over_2_5": 43.8, "under_2_5": 56.2, "btts": 45.8, "no_btts": 54.2, "expected_corners": 7.99, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 63.4, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.49}, "corners_over_8_5": 45.4, "expected_cards": 4.2, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 70.4, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}, "cards_over_3_5": 58.4, "data_depth": 5}, "confidence": 0.359, "reason_score": 40.73, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "minimal", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: CA Nacional Potosi vs CDT Real Oruro", "1X2 probabilities: 1=42.1%, X=25.6%, 2=32.3%", "Double chance priority: 12 74.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 7.99", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.2", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: minimal"]}