Match analysis
BackChacarita Juniors vs Club Atlético Güemes
Score 138.5Confidence 0.63Kind subet
Model notes
- Team DNA comparison: Chacarita Juniors vs Club Atlético Güemes
- 1X2 probabilities: 1=36.5%, X=26.2%, 2=37.3%
- Double chance priority: 12 73.8% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
- Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.6%
- Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
- Corners: Over 8.5 corners expected 9.81
- Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.97
- Importance weight: 1.0
- Coverage: partial
Raw profile
{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "8638a7dd-cdd8-5627-9c00-702b81d2aa13", "title": "Chacarita Juniors vs Club Atlético Güemes", "home_team": "Chacarita Juniors", "away_team": "Club Atlético Güemes", "competition": "Primera Nacional", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "18:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 73.8, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 73.8%", "12 73.8%", "Over 0.5 goals 83.6%", "BTTS No 53.0%", "Over 8.5 corners 61.8%", "Over 2.5 cards 67.6%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 73.8, "confidence": 0.631}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 73.8, "confidence": 0.622}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.4, "confidence": 0.518}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 83.6, "under": 16.4, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 83.6}, "1.5": {"over": 65.6, "under": 34.4, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 65.6}, "2.5": {"over": 44.6, "under": 55.4, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.4}, "3.5": {"over": 29.6, "under": 70.4, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 70.4}, "4.5": {"over": 11.6, "under": 88.4, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 88.4}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.87}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.87}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 53.0, "confidence": 0.504}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "probability": 61.8, "expected": 9.81, "line": 8.5, "confidence": 0.582, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "line": 8.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 61.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.31}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 67.6, "expected": 3.97, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.64, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.47}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 36.5, "draw": 26.2, "away": 37.3}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.37, "over_2_5": 44.6, "under_2_5": 55.4, "btts": 47.0, "no_btts": 53.0, "expected_corners": 9.81, "corners_line": 8.5, "corners_pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "corners_probability": 61.8, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "line": 8.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 61.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.31}, "corners_over_8_5": 61.8, "expected_cards": 3.97, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 67.6, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.47}, "cards_over_3_5": 55.6, "data_depth": 57}, "confidence": 0.631, "reason_score": 60.5, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Chacarita Juniors vs Club Atlético Güemes", "1X2 probabilities: 1=36.5%, X=26.2%, 2=37.3%", "Double chance priority: 12 73.8% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.6%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 8.5 corners expected 9.81", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.97", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}