Match analysis
BackKalighat Club vs DC United
Score 130.6Confidence 0.52Kind subet
Model notes
- Team DNA comparison: Kalighat Club vs DC United
- 1X2 probabilities: 1=42.0%, X=25.6%, 2=32.4%
- Double chance priority: 12 74.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
- Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%
- Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
- Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.04
- Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.73
- Importance weight: 1.0
- Coverage: partial
Raw profile
{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "d47f3a0b-d9af-58d5-8c5e-27941bc1978a", "title": "Kalighat Club vs DC United", "home_team": "Kalighat Club", "away_team": "DC United", "competition": "Calcutta Premier Division", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "09:30", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 74.4, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 74.4%", "12 74.4%", "Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "BTTS No 53.3%", "Over 7.5 corners 63.9%", "Over 2.5 cards 64.8%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.4, "confidence": 0.518}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.4, "confidence": 0.52}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.2, "confidence": 0.408}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 84.2, "under": 15.8, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 84.2}, "1.5": {"over": 66.2, "under": 33.8, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 66.2}, "2.5": {"over": 44.8, "under": 55.2, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.2}, "3.5": {"over": 30.2, "under": 69.8, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 69.8}, "4.5": {"over": 12.2, "under": 87.8, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 87.8}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 53.3, "confidence": 0.396}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 63.9, "expected": 9.04, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.495, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.9, "edge_from_expected": 1.54}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 64.8, "expected": 3.73, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.504, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 64.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.23}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 42.0, "draw": 25.6, "away": 32.4}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.4, "over_2_5": 44.8, "under_2_5": 55.2, "btts": 46.7, "no_btts": 53.3, "expected_corners": 9.04, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 63.9, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.9, "edge_from_expected": 1.54}, "corners_over_8_5": 54.9, "expected_cards": 3.73, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 64.8, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 64.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.23}, "cards_over_3_5": 52.8, "data_depth": 7}, "confidence": 0.518, "reason_score": 52.56, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Kalighat Club vs DC United", "1X2 probabilities: 1=42.0%, X=25.6%, 2=32.4%", "Double chance priority: 12 74.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.04", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.73", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}