Keflavik vs IA Akranes

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Keflavik vs IA Akranes
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=43.0%, X=25.5%, 2=31.5%
• Double chance priority: 1X 68.5% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.27
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.76
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "31fc70c1-9bba-5435-afdf-95564e4af84b", "title": "Keflavik vs IA Akranes", "home_team": "Keflavik", "away_team": "IA Akranes", "competition": "Úrvalsdeild", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "19:15", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 68.5, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 68.5%", "1X 68.5%", "Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "BTTS No 51.3%", "Over 6.5 corners 65.9%", "Over 2.5 cards 65.1%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.5, "confidence": 0.487}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.5, "confidence": 0.461}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 54.9, "confidence": 0.405}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 84.2, "under": 15.8, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 84.2}, "1.5": {"over": 66.2, "under": 33.8, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 66.2}, "2.5": {"over": 45.1, "under": 54.9, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 54.9}, "3.5": {"over": 30.2, "under": 69.8, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 69.8}, "4.5": {"over": 12.2, "under": 87.8, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 87.8}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 51.3, "confidence": 0.396}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 65.9, "expected": 8.27, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.515, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.9, "edge_from_expected": 1.77}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 65.1, "expected": 3.76, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.507, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.1, "edge_from_expected": 1.26}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 43.0, "draw": 25.5, "away": 31.5}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.4, "over_2_5": 45.1, "under_2_5": 54.9, "btts": 48.7, "no_btts": 51.3, "expected_corners": 8.27, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 65.9, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.9, "edge_from_expected": 1.77}, "corners_over_8_5": 47.9, "expected_cards": 3.76, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 65.1, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.1, "edge_from_expected": 1.26}, "cards_over_3_5": 53.1, "data_depth": 9}, "confidence": 0.487, "reason_score": 46.55, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Keflavik vs IA Akranes", "1X2 probabilities: 1=43.0%, X=25.5%, 2=31.5%", "Double chance priority: 1X 68.5% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.27", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.76", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}