Match analysis

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Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC

Score 138.0Confidence 0.63Kind subet

Model notes

  • Team DNA comparison: Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC
  • 1X2 probabilities: 1=48.9%, X=24.4%, 2=26.7%
  • Double chance priority: 1X 73.3% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
  • Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 71.6%
  • Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
  • Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 8.94
  • Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.79
  • Importance weight: 1.0
  • Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "ab3e0140-b788-5afd-be44-e9b4c0013606", "title": "Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC", "home_team": "Mushuc Runa SC", "away_team": "Orense SC", "competition": "Liga Pro", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "19:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 73.3, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 73.3%", "1X 73.3%", "Over 1.5 goals 71.6%", "BTTS No 47.5%", "Over 7.5 corners 63.0%", "Over 2.5 cards 65.5%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 73.3, "confidence": 0.629}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 73.3, "confidence": 0.617}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 51.1, "confidence": 0.504}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 89.6, "under": 10.4, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 89.6}, "1.5": {"over": 71.6, "under": 28.4, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 71.6}, "2.5": {"over": 48.9, "under": 51.1, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 51.1}, "3.5": {"over": 35.6, "under": 64.4, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 64.4}, "4.5": {"over": 17.6, "under": 82.4, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 82.4}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 47.5, "confidence": 0.504}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 63.0, "expected": 8.94, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.594, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.44}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 65.5, "expected": 3.79, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.619, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.29}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 48.9, "draw": 24.4, "away": 26.7}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.7, "over_2_5": 48.9, "under_2_5": 51.1, "btts": 52.5, "no_btts": 47.5, "expected_corners": 8.94, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 63.0, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.44}, "corners_over_8_5": 54.0, "expected_cards": 3.79, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 65.5, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.29}, "cards_over_3_5": 53.5, "data_depth": 9}, "confidence": 0.629, "reason_score": 59.97, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC", "1X2 probabilities: 1=48.9%, X=24.4%, 2=26.7%", "Double chance priority: 1X 73.3% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 71.6%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 8.94", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.79", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}