Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=42.2%, X=25.6%, 2=32.2%
• Double chance priority: 12 74.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.5
• Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.14
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "8a09d9d0-08db-5c81-957b-932f9c811651", "title": "Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF", "home_team": "Orgryte IS", "away_team": "Djurgardens IF", "competition": "Allsvenskan", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "17:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 74.4, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 74.4%", "12 74.4%", "Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "BTTS No 52.1%", "Over 6.5 corners 68.0%", "Over 1.5 cards 69.7%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.4, "confidence": 0.518}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.4, "confidence": 0.52}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 56.2, "confidence": 0.418}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 84.2, "under": 15.8, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 84.2}, "1.5": {"over": 66.2, "under": 33.8, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 66.2}, "2.5": {"over": 43.8, "under": 56.2, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 56.2}, "3.5": {"over": 30.2, "under": 69.8, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 69.8}, "4.5": {"over": 12.2, "under": 87.8, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 87.8}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 52.1, "confidence": 0.396}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 68.0, "expected": 8.5, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.536, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.0, "edge_from_expected": 2.0}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 69.7, "expected": 3.14, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.553, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.64}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 42.2, "draw": 25.6, "away": 32.2}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.4, "over_2_5": 43.8, "under_2_5": 56.2, "btts": 47.9, "no_btts": 52.1, "expected_corners": 8.5, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 68.0, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.0, "edge_from_expected": 2.0}, "corners_over_8_5": 50.0, "expected_cards": 3.14, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 69.7, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.64}, "cards_over_3_5": 45.7, "data_depth": 18}, "confidence": 0.518, "reason_score": 52.56, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF", "1X2 probabilities: 1=42.2%, X=25.6%, 2=32.2%", "Double chance priority: 12 74.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.5", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.14", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}