Patronato vs Atlanta

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Patronato vs Atlanta
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=39.1%, X=27.0%, 2=33.9%
• Double chance priority: 12 73.0% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.6%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.31
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.11
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "bdaff3ce-cbb7-5693-b184-65134c99e744", "title": "Patronato vs Atlanta", "home_team": "Patronato", "away_team": "Atlanta", "competition": "Primera Nacional", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "23:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 73.0, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 73.0%", "12 73.0%", "Over 0.5 goals 83.6%", "BTTS No 53.4%", "Over 6.5 corners 66.3%", "Over 2.5 cards 69.3%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 73.0, "confidence": 0.627}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 73.0, "confidence": 0.614}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.4, "confidence": 0.518}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 83.6, "under": 16.4, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 83.6}, "1.5": {"over": 65.6, "under": 34.4, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 65.6}, "2.5": {"over": 44.6, "under": 55.4, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.4}, "3.5": {"over": 29.6, "under": 70.4, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 70.4}, "4.5": {"over": 11.6, "under": 88.4, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 88.4}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.87}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.87}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 53.4, "confidence": 0.504}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 66.3, "expected": 8.31, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.627, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.81}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 69.3, "expected": 4.11, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.657, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.61}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 39.1, "draw": 27.0, "away": 33.9}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.37, "over_2_5": 44.6, "under_2_5": 55.4, "btts": 46.6, "no_btts": 53.4, "expected_corners": 8.31, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 66.3, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.81}, "corners_over_8_5": 48.3, "expected_cards": 4.11, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 69.3, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.61}, "cards_over_3_5": 57.3, "data_depth": 425}, "confidence": 0.627, "reason_score": 59.59, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Patronato vs Atlanta", "1X2 probabilities: 1=39.1%, X=27.0%, 2=33.9%", "Double chance priority: 12 73.0% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.6%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.31", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.11", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}