Match analysis
BackQuilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy
Score 130.9Confidence 0.60Kind subet
Model notes
- Team DNA comparison: Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- 1X2 probabilities: 1=39.8%, X=27.2%, 2=33.0%
- Double chance priority: 1X 67.0% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
- Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.7%
- Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
- Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.54
- Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 2.9
- Importance weight: 1.0
- Coverage: partial
Raw profile
{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "4a5c6441-6943-544d-942f-87404824cb88", "title": "Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy", "home_team": "Quilmes", "away_team": "Gimnasia Jujuy", "competition": "Primera Nacional", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "23:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 67.0, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 67.0%", "1X 67.0%", "Over 0.5 goals 83.7%", "BTTS No 51.7%", "Over 7.5 corners 68.4%", "Over 1.5 cards 66.8%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 67.0, "confidence": 0.596}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 67.0, "confidence": 0.554}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.3, "confidence": 0.517}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 83.7, "under": 16.3, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 83.7}, "1.5": {"over": 65.7, "under": 34.3, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 65.7}, "2.5": {"over": 44.7, "under": 55.3, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.3}, "3.5": {"over": 29.7, "under": 70.3, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 70.3}, "4.5": {"over": 11.7, "under": 88.3, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 88.3}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.87}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.87}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 51.7, "confidence": 0.504}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 68.4, "expected": 9.54, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.648, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.4, "edge_from_expected": 2.04}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 66.8, "expected": 2.9, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.632, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.4}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 39.8, "draw": 27.2, "away": 33.0}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.37, "over_2_5": 44.7, "under_2_5": 55.3, "btts": 48.3, "no_btts": 51.7, "expected_corners": 9.54, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 68.4, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.4, "edge_from_expected": 2.04}, "corners_over_8_5": 59.4, "expected_cards": 2.9, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 66.8, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.4}, "cards_over_3_5": 42.8, "data_depth": 337}, "confidence": 0.596, "reason_score": 52.91, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy", "1X2 probabilities: 1=39.8%, X=27.2%, 2=33.0%", "Double chance priority: 1X 67.0% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.7%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.54", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 2.9", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}