Match analysis
BackRapid vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Score 124.6Confidence 0.49Kind subet
Model notes
- Team DNA comparison: Rapid vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 1X2 probabilities: 1=43.1%, X=25.5%, 2=31.4%
- Double chance priority: 1X 68.6% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
- Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%
- Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
- Corners: Over 5.5 corners expected 7.72
- Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.79
- Importance weight: 1.0
- Coverage: partial
Raw profile
{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "ffd86f6d-2732-508b-b2cf-81244af4d7e6", "title": "Rapid vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe", "home_team": "Rapid", "away_team": "Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe", "competition": "Liga I", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "18:30", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 68.6, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 68.6%", "1X 68.6%", "Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "BTTS No 54.6%", "Over 5.5 corners 70.0%", "Over 2.5 cards 65.5%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.6, "confidence": 0.487}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.6, "confidence": 0.462}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.7, "confidence": 0.413}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 84.2, "under": 15.8, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 84.2}, "1.5": {"over": 66.2, "under": 33.8, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 66.2}, "2.5": {"over": 44.3, "under": 55.7, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.7}, "3.5": {"over": 30.2, "under": 69.8, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 69.8}, "4.5": {"over": 12.2, "under": 87.8, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 87.8}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 54.6, "confidence": 0.402}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "probability": 70.0, "expected": 7.72, "line": 5.5, "confidence": 0.556, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "line": 5.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.0, "edge_from_expected": 2.22}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 65.5, "expected": 3.79, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.511, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.29}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 43.1, "draw": 25.5, "away": 31.4}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.4, "over_2_5": 44.3, "under_2_5": 55.7, "btts": 45.4, "no_btts": 54.6, "expected_corners": 7.72, "corners_line": 5.5, "corners_pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "corners_probability": 70.0, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "line": 5.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.0, "edge_from_expected": 2.22}, "corners_over_8_5": 43.0, "expected_cards": 3.79, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 65.5, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.29}, "cards_over_3_5": 53.5, "data_depth": 12}, "confidence": 0.487, "reason_score": 46.61, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Rapid vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe", "1X2 probabilities: 1=43.1%, X=25.5%, 2=31.4%", "Double chance priority: 1X 68.6% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 5.5 corners expected 7.72", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.79", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}