San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=40.8%, X=27.6%, 2=31.7%
• Double chance priority: 1X 68.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.5%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.31
• Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 2.95
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "6299231b-a67d-53aa-8b75-19df3f52e5b0", "title": "San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez", "home_team": "San Martin S.J.", "away_team": "Tristan Suarez", "competition": "Primera Nacional", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "18:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 68.4, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 68.4%", "1X 68.4%", "Over 0.5 goals 83.5%", "BTTS No 50.9%", "Over 7.5 corners 66.3%", "Over 1.5 cards 67.4%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.4, "confidence": 0.603}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.4, "confidence": 0.568}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.5, "confidence": 0.519}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 83.5, "under": 16.5, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 83.5}, "1.5": {"over": 65.5, "under": 34.5, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 65.5}, "2.5": {"over": 44.5, "under": 55.5, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 55.5}, "3.5": {"over": 29.5, "under": 70.5, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 70.5}, "4.5": {"over": 11.5, "under": 88.5, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 88.5}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.86}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.86}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 50.9, "confidence": 0.504}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 66.3, "expected": 9.31, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.627, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.81}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 67.4, "expected": 2.95, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.638, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.45}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 40.8, "draw": 27.6, "away": 31.7}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.36, "over_2_5": 44.5, "under_2_5": 55.5, "btts": 49.1, "no_btts": 50.9, "expected_corners": 9.31, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 66.3, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.81}, "corners_over_8_5": 57.3, "expected_cards": 2.95, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 67.4, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.45}, "cards_over_3_5": 43.4, "data_depth": 391}, "confidence": 0.603, "reason_score": 54.42, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez", "1X2 probabilities: 1=40.8%, X=27.6%, 2=31.7%", "Double chance priority: 1X 68.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.5%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.31", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 2.95", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}