Match analysis
BackVolta Redonda RJ vs Sao Goncalo EC RJ
Score 118.8Confidence 0.36Kind subet
Model notes
- Team DNA comparison: Volta Redonda RJ vs Sao Goncalo EC RJ
- 1X2 probabilities: 1=42.7%, X=25.5%, 2=31.8%
- Double chance priority: 12 74.5% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
- Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%
- Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
- Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.39
- Cards: Over 3.5 cards expected 4.65
- Importance weight: 1.0
- Coverage: minimal
Raw profile
{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "89332718", "title": "Volta Redonda RJ vs Sao Goncalo EC RJ", "home_team": "Volta Redonda RJ", "away_team": "Sao Goncalo EC RJ", "competition": "Brazil", "date": "2026-07-20", "time": "11:01", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 74.5, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 74.5%", "12 74.5%", "Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "BTTS No 53.9%", "Over 7.5 corners 67.0%", "Over 3.5 cards 63.8%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.5, "confidence": 0.359}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.5, "confidence": 0.485}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 57.6, "confidence": 0.396}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 84.2, "under": 15.8, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 84.2}, "1.5": {"over": 66.2, "under": 33.8, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 66.2}, "2.5": {"over": 42.4, "under": 57.6, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 57.6}, "3.5": {"over": 30.2, "under": 69.8, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 69.8}, "4.5": {"over": 12.2, "under": 87.8, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 87.8}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 53.9, "confidence": 0.36}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 67.0, "expected": 9.39, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.49, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.89}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 3.5 cards", "probability": 63.8, "expected": 4.65, "line": 3.5, "confidence": 0.458, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 3.5 cards", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.15}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 42.7, "draw": 25.5, "away": 31.8}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.4, "over_2_5": 42.4, "under_2_5": 57.6, "btts": 46.1, "no_btts": 53.9, "expected_corners": 9.39, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 67.0, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.89}, "corners_over_8_5": 58.0, "expected_cards": 4.65, "cards_line": 3.5, "cards_pick": "Over 3.5 cards", "cards_probability": 63.8, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 3.5 cards", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.15}, "cards_over_3_5": 63.8, "data_depth": 5}, "confidence": 0.359, "reason_score": 40.78, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "minimal", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Volta Redonda RJ vs Sao Goncalo EC RJ", "1X2 probabilities: 1=42.7%, X=25.5%, 2=31.8%", "Double chance priority: 12 74.5% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.39", "Cards: Over 3.5 cards expected 4.65", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: minimal"]}