Match analysis

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AB Copenhagen vs FC Fredericia

Score 119.2Confidence 0.36Kind subet

Model notes

  • Team DNA comparison: AB Copenhagen vs FC Fredericia
  • 1X2 probabilities: 1=38.7%, X=25.0%, 2=36.3%
  • Double chance priority: 12 75.0% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
  • Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%
  • Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
  • Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.43
  • Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.2
  • Importance weight: 1.0
  • Coverage: minimal

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "29c9bfb1c01dcab2b4848c65374f853b", "title": "AB Copenhagen vs FC Fredericia", "home_team": "AB Copenhagen", "away_team": "FC Fredericia", "competition": "1. Division", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "17:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 75.0, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 75.0%", "12 75.0%", "Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "BTTS Yes 86%", "Over 7.5 corners 67.4%", "Over 1.5 cards 70.4%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 75.0, "confidence": 0.362}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 75.0, "confidence": 0.49}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88, "confidence": 0.7}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 95.0}, "2.5": {"over": 88.0, "under": 12.0, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88.0}, "3.5": {"over": 77.0, "under": 23.0, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 77.0}, "4.5": {"over": 59.0, "under": 41.0, "pick": "Over 4.5", "probability": 59.0}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 86, "confidence": 0.68}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 67.4, "expected": 9.43, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.494, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.93}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 70.4, "expected": 3.2, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.524, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 38.7, "draw": 25.0, "away": 36.3}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 5.0, "over_2_5": 88, "under_2_5": 12, "btts": 86, "no_btts": 14, "expected_corners": 9.43, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 67.4, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.93}, "corners_over_8_5": 58.4, "expected_cards": 3.2, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 70.4, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}, "cards_over_3_5": 46.4, "data_depth": 6}, "confidence": 0.362, "reason_score": 41.25, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "minimal", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: AB Copenhagen vs FC Fredericia", "1X2 probabilities: 1=38.7%, X=25.0%, 2=36.3%", "Double chance priority: 12 75.0% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.43", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.2", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: minimal"]}