Amiens vs Chambly Thelle FC

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Amiens vs Chambly Thelle FC
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=41.5%, X=25.5%, 2=32.9%
• Double chance priority: 12 74.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 5.5 corners expected 7.55
• Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 2.81
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "6bd45415-375b-5913-8f0b-a6d81cdc0b8b", "title": "Amiens vs Chambly Thelle FC", "home_team": "Amiens", "away_team": "Chambly Thelle FC", "competition": "Friendlies Clubs", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "09:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 74.4, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 74.4%", "12 74.4%", "Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "BTTS No 54.8%", "Over 5.5 corners 68.5%", "Over 1.5 cards 65.7%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.4, "confidence": 0.518}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.4, "confidence": 0.52}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 57.5, "confidence": 0.431}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 84.2, "under": 15.8, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 84.2}, "1.5": {"over": 66.2, "under": 33.8, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 66.2}, "2.5": {"over": 42.5, "under": 57.5, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 57.5}, "3.5": {"over": 30.2, "under": 69.8, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 69.8}, "4.5": {"over": 12.2, "under": 87.8, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 87.8}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 54.8, "confidence": 0.404}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "probability": 68.5, "expected": 7.55, "line": 5.5, "confidence": 0.541, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "line": 5.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.5, "edge_from_expected": 2.05}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 65.7, "expected": 2.81, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.513, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.31}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 41.5, "draw": 25.5, "away": 32.9}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.4, "over_2_5": 42.5, "under_2_5": 57.5, "btts": 45.2, "no_btts": 54.8, "expected_corners": 7.55, "corners_line": 5.5, "corners_pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "corners_probability": 68.5, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "line": 5.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.5, "edge_from_expected": 2.05}, "corners_over_8_5": 41.5, "expected_cards": 2.81, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 65.7, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.31}, "cards_over_3_5": 41.7, "data_depth": 12}, "confidence": 0.518, "reason_score": 52.56, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Amiens vs Chambly Thelle FC", "1X2 probabilities: 1=41.5%, X=25.5%, 2=32.9%", "Double chance priority: 12 74.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 5.5 corners expected 7.55", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 2.81", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}