Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown DE Adrogue

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown DE Adrogue
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=39.4%, X=27.0%, 2=33.5%
• Double chance priority: 12 72.9% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.5%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.0
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.3
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "530582e9-6edb-50da-9a17-b0b507468904", "title": "Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown DE Adrogue", "home_team": "Arsenal Sarandi", "away_team": "Brown DE Adrogue", "competition": "Primera B Metropolitana", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "18:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 72.9, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 72.9%", "12 72.9%", "Over 0.5 goals 83.5%", "BTTS No 54.2%", "Over 6.5 corners 63.5%", "Over 2.5 cards 71.6%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 72.9, "confidence": 0.627}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 72.9, "confidence": 0.613}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 57.7, "confidence": 0.541}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 83.5, "under": 16.5, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 83.5}, "1.5": {"over": 65.5, "under": 34.5, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 65.5}, "2.5": {"over": 42.3, "under": 57.7, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 57.7}, "3.5": {"over": 29.5, "under": 70.5, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 70.5}, "4.5": {"over": 11.5, "under": 88.5, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 88.5}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.86}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 83.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.86}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 54.2, "confidence": 0.506}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 63.5, "expected": 8.0, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.599, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 71.6, "expected": 4.3, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.68, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.8}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 39.4, "draw": 27.0, "away": 33.5}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.36, "over_2_5": 42.3, "under_2_5": 57.7, "btts": 45.8, "no_btts": 54.2, "expected_corners": 8.0, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 63.5, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}, "corners_over_8_5": 45.5, "expected_cards": 4.3, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 71.6, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.8}, "cards_over_3_5": 59.6, "data_depth": 694}, "confidence": 0.627, "reason_score": 59.51, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown DE Adrogue", "1X2 probabilities: 1=39.4%, X=27.0%, 2=33.5%", "Double chance priority: 12 72.9% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 83.5%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.0", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.3", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}