Match analysis
BackAugsburg II vs Landsberg
Score 131.0Confidence 0.52Kind subet
Model notes
- Team DNA comparison: Augsburg II vs Landsberg
- 1X2 probabilities: 1=39.8%, X=25.2%, 2=35.0%
- Double chance priority: 12 74.8% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
- Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%
- Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
- Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 8.76
- Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.77
- Importance weight: 1.0
- Coverage: partial
Raw profile
{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "3929d579-03fa-5e6e-b232-74e182d71fe1", "title": "Augsburg II vs Landsberg", "home_team": "Augsburg II", "away_team": "Landsberg", "competition": "Regionalliga - Bayern", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "16:30", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 74.8, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 74.8%", "12 74.8%", "Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "BTTS Yes 86%", "Over 7.5 corners 61.3%", "Over 2.5 cards 65.2%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.8, "confidence": 0.52}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.8, "confidence": 0.524}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88, "confidence": 0.736}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 95.0}, "2.5": {"over": 88.0, "under": 12.0, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88.0}, "3.5": {"over": 77.0, "under": 23.0, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 77.0}, "4.5": {"over": 59.0, "under": 41.0, "pick": "Over 4.5", "probability": 59.0}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 86, "confidence": 0.716}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 61.3, "expected": 8.76, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.469, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 61.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.26}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 65.2, "expected": 3.77, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.508, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.27}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 39.8, "draw": 25.2, "away": 35.0}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 5.0, "over_2_5": 88, "under_2_5": 12, "btts": 86, "no_btts": 14, "expected_corners": 8.76, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 61.3, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 61.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.26}, "corners_over_8_5": 52.3, "expected_cards": 3.77, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 65.2, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.27}, "cards_over_3_5": 53.2, "data_depth": 6}, "confidence": 0.52, "reason_score": 52.97, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Augsburg II vs Landsberg", "1X2 probabilities: 1=39.8%, X=25.2%, 2=35.0%", "Double chance priority: 12 74.8% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 8.76", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.77", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}