Match analysis

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BSS Sporting vs Railway

Score 135.6Confidence 0.59Kind subet

Model notes

  • Team DNA comparison: BSS Sporting vs Railway
  • 1X2 probabilities: 1=49.5%, X=24.3%, 2=26.2%
  • Double chance priority: 1X 73.8% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
  • Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 82.4%
  • Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
  • Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.31
  • Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.94
  • Importance weight: 1.0
  • Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "77321276724a2564684f1ccf28cd1659", "title": "BSS Sporting vs Railway", "home_team": "BSS Sporting", "away_team": "Railway", "competition": "Calcutta Premier Division", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "09:30", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 73.8, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 73.8%", "1X 73.8%", "Over 0.5 goals 82.4%", "BTTS No 52.8%", "Over 6.5 corners 66.3%", "Over 2.5 cards 67.3%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 73.8, "confidence": 0.592}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 73.8, "confidence": 0.586}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 58.0, "confidence": 0.508}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 82.4, "under": 17.6, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 82.4}, "1.5": {"over": 64.4, "under": 35.6, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 64.4}, "2.5": {"over": 42.0, "under": 58.0, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 58.0}, "3.5": {"over": 28.4, "under": 71.6, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 71.6}, "4.5": {"over": 10.4, "under": 89.6, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 89.6}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 82.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.8}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 82.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.8}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 52.8, "confidence": 0.468}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 66.3, "expected": 8.31, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.591, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.81}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 67.3, "expected": 3.94, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.601, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.44}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 49.5, "draw": 24.3, "away": 26.2}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.3, "over_2_5": 42.0, "under_2_5": 58.0, "btts": 47.2, "no_btts": 52.8, "expected_corners": 8.31, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 66.3, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.81}, "corners_over_8_5": 48.3, "expected_cards": 3.94, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 67.3, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.44}, "cards_over_3_5": 55.3, "data_depth": 10}, "confidence": 0.592, "reason_score": 57.62, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: BSS Sporting vs Railway", "1X2 probabilities: 1=49.5%, X=24.3%, 2=26.2%", "Double chance priority: 1X 73.8% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 82.4%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.31", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.94", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}