Match analysis
BackCzarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS Łódź W
Score 130.6Confidence 0.52Kind subet
Model notes
- Team DNA comparison: Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS Łódź W
- 1X2 probabilities: 1=42.6%, X=25.6%, 2=31.8%
- Double chance priority: 12 74.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
- Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%
- Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
- Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 7.77
- Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.92
- Importance weight: 1.0
- Coverage: partial
Raw profile
{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "81a6bb39-91c1-5b0c-a022-7042693a75d8", "title": "Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS Łódź W", "home_team": "Czarni Sosnowiec W", "away_team": "UKS Łódź W", "competition": "Ekstraliga Women", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "15:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 74.4, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 74.4%", "12 74.4%", "Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "BTTS No 51.0%", "Over 6.5 corners 61.4%", "Over 2.5 cards 67.0%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.4, "confidence": 0.518}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.4, "confidence": 0.52}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 57.1, "confidence": 0.427}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 84.2, "under": 15.8, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 84.2}, "1.5": {"over": 66.2, "under": 33.8, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 66.2}, "2.5": {"over": 42.9, "under": 57.1, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 57.1}, "3.5": {"over": 30.2, "under": 69.8, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 69.8}, "4.5": {"over": 12.2, "under": 87.8, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 87.8}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 51.0, "confidence": 0.396}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 61.4, "expected": 7.77, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.47, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 61.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.27}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 67.0, "expected": 3.92, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.526, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.42}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 42.6, "draw": 25.6, "away": 31.8}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.4, "over_2_5": 42.9, "under_2_5": 57.1, "btts": 49.0, "no_btts": 51.0, "expected_corners": 7.77, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 61.4, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 61.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.27}, "corners_over_8_5": 43.4, "expected_cards": 3.92, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 67.0, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.42}, "cards_over_3_5": 55.0, "data_depth": 7}, "confidence": 0.518, "reason_score": 52.56, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS Łódź W", "1X2 probabilities: 1=42.6%, X=25.6%, 2=31.8%", "Double chance priority: 12 74.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 7.77", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.92", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}