Match analysis

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Drukpa vs Bhutan U19

Score 133.0Confidence 0.61Kind subet

Model notes

  • Team DNA comparison: Drukpa vs Bhutan U19
  • 1X2 probabilities: 1=43.5%, X=25.4%, 2=31.1%
  • Double chance priority: 1X 68.9% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
  • Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 80.0%
  • Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
  • Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.0
  • Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.69
  • Importance weight: 1.0
  • Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "95b29636-b160-5e92-8908-de35067f93fb", "title": "Drukpa vs Bhutan U19", "home_team": "Drukpa", "away_team": "Bhutan U19", "competition": "Premier League", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "12:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 68.9, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 68.9%", "1X 68.9%", "Over 1.5 goals 80.0%", "BTTS Yes 63.4%", "Over 7.5 corners 63.5%", "Over 2.5 cards 64.3%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.9, "confidence": 0.606}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.9, "confidence": 0.573}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 58.0, "confidence": 0.544}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 80.0, "under": 20.0, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 80.0}, "2.5": {"over": 58.0, "under": 42.0, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 58.0}, "3.5": {"over": 44.0, "under": 56.0, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 56.0}, "4.5": {"over": 26.0, "under": 74.0, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 74.0}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 80.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.67}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 80.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.67}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 63.4, "confidence": 0.598}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 63.5, "expected": 9.0, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.599, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 64.3, "expected": 3.69, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.607, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 64.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.19}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 43.5, "draw": 25.4, "away": 31.1}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 3.17, "over_2_5": 58.0, "under_2_5": 42.0, "btts": 63.4, "no_btts": 36.6, "expected_corners": 9.0, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 63.5, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}, "corners_over_8_5": 54.5, "expected_cards": 3.69, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 64.3, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 64.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.19}, "cards_over_3_5": 52.3, "data_depth": 20}, "confidence": 0.606, "reason_score": 55.0, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Drukpa vs Bhutan U19", "1X2 probabilities: 1=43.5%, X=25.4%, 2=31.1%", "Double chance priority: 1X 68.9% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 80.0%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.0", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.69", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}