Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Horn

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Horn
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=45.4%, X=25.0%, 2=29.6%
• Double chance priority: 1X 70.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.17
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.68
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "8ad3276b-edbc-5ea2-a59c-1e73fc94cc05", "title": "Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Horn", "home_team": "Fach-Donaufeld", "away_team": "SV Horn", "competition": "Regionalliga - Ost", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "16:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 70.4, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 70.4%", "1X 70.4%", "Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "BTTS Yes 86%", "Over 6.5 corners 65.0%", "Over 2.5 cards 64.2%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 70.4, "confidence": 0.497}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 70.4, "confidence": 0.48}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88, "confidence": 0.736}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 95.0}, "2.5": {"over": 88.0, "under": 12.0, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88.0}, "3.5": {"over": 77.0, "under": 23.0, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 77.0}, "4.5": {"over": 59.0, "under": 41.0, "pick": "Over 4.5", "probability": 59.0}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 86, "confidence": 0.716}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 65.0, "expected": 8.17, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.506, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.67}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 64.2, "expected": 3.68, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.498, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 64.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.18}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 45.4, "draw": 25.0, "away": 29.6}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 5.0, "over_2_5": 88, "under_2_5": 12, "btts": 86, "no_btts": 14, "expected_corners": 8.17, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 65.0, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.67}, "corners_over_8_5": 47.0, "expected_cards": 3.68, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 64.2, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 64.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.18}, "cards_over_3_5": 52.2, "data_depth": 3}, "confidence": 0.497, "reason_score": 48.44, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Horn", "1X2 probabilities: 1=45.4%, X=25.0%, 2=29.6%", "Double chance priority: 1X 70.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.17", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.68", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}