Match analysis

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Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs TSV Steinbach

Score 142.4Confidence 0.65Kind subet

Model notes

  • Team DNA comparison: Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs TSV Steinbach
  • 1X2 probabilities: 1=53.6%, X=23.5%, 2=22.9%
  • Double chance priority: 1X 77.1% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
  • Conservative totals: Over 2.5 goals 82.4%
  • Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
  • Corners: Over 5.5 corners expected 7.63
  • Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.69
  • Importance weight: 1.0
  • Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "9c3df23b-b402-5d6d-8389-49ce59625c01", "title": "Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs TSV Steinbach", "home_team": "Fortuna Düsseldorf II", "away_team": "TSV Steinbach", "competition": "Friendlies Clubs", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "12:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 77.1, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 77.1%", "1X 77.1%", "Over 2.5 goals 82.4%", "BTTS Yes 74.2%", "Over 5.5 corners 69.2%", "Over 2.5 cards 64.3%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 77.1, "confidence": 0.649}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 77.1, "confidence": 0.655}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 80.5, "confidence": 0.769}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 95.0}, "2.5": {"over": 80.5, "under": 19.5, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 80.5}, "3.5": {"over": 64.4, "under": 35.6, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 64.4}, "4.5": {"over": 46.4, "under": 53.6, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 53.6}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 goals", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 82.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.8}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 2.5 goals", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 82.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.8}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 74.2, "confidence": 0.706}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "probability": 69.2, "expected": 7.63, "line": 5.5, "confidence": 0.656, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "line": 5.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.2, "edge_from_expected": 2.13}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 64.3, "expected": 3.69, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.607, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 64.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.19}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 53.6, "draw": 23.5, "away": 22.9}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 4.3, "over_2_5": 80.5, "under_2_5": 19.5, "btts": 74.2, "no_btts": 25.8, "expected_corners": 7.63, "corners_line": 5.5, "corners_pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "corners_probability": 69.2, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 5.5 corners", "line": 5.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.2, "edge_from_expected": 2.13}, "corners_over_8_5": 42.2, "expected_cards": 3.69, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 64.3, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 64.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.19}, "cards_over_3_5": 52.3, "data_depth": 13}, "confidence": 0.649, "reason_score": 64.43, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs TSV Steinbach", "1X2 probabilities: 1=53.6%, X=23.5%, 2=22.9%", "Double chance priority: 1X 77.1% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 2.5 goals 82.4%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 5.5 corners expected 7.63", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.69", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}