Água Santa U20 vs Sfera U20

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Água Santa U20 vs Sfera U20
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=39.3%, X=25.1%, 2=35.6%
• Double chance priority: 12 74.9% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.53
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.2
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "c76e6ffe-0a04-57d7-b3fe-313cd4ae7ad0", "title": "Água Santa U20 vs Sfera U20", "home_team": "Água Santa U20", "away_team": "Sfera U20", "competition": "Paulista - U20", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "18:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 74.9, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 74.9%", "12 74.9%", "Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "BTTS Yes 86%", "Over 7.5 corners 68.3%", "Over 2.5 cards 70.4%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.9, "confidence": 0.52}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.9, "confidence": 0.525}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88, "confidence": 0.736}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 95.0}, "2.5": {"over": 88.0, "under": 12.0, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88.0}, "3.5": {"over": 77.0, "under": 23.0, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 77.0}, "4.5": {"over": 59.0, "under": 41.0, "pick": "Over 4.5", "probability": 59.0}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 86, "confidence": 0.716}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 68.3, "expected": 9.53, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.539, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.3, "edge_from_expected": 2.03}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 70.4, "expected": 4.2, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.56, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 39.3, "draw": 25.1, "away": 35.6}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 5.0, "over_2_5": 88, "under_2_5": 12, "btts": 86, "no_btts": 14, "expected_corners": 9.53, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 68.3, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.3, "edge_from_expected": 2.03}, "corners_over_8_5": 59.3, "expected_cards": 4.2, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 70.4, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}, "cards_over_3_5": 58.4, "data_depth": 3}, "confidence": 0.52, "reason_score": 53.03, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Água Santa U20 vs Sfera U20", "1X2 probabilities: 1=39.3%, X=25.1%, 2=35.6%", "Double chance priority: 12 74.9% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.53", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.2", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}