Karviná vs Vlašim

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Karviná vs Vlašim
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=54.0%, X=23.4%, 2=22.5%
• Double chance priority: 1X 77.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 71.6%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.42
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.65
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "34aaa8c7-4556-5059-8c94-17b16c3a7829", "title": "Karviná vs Vlašim", "home_team": "Karviná", "away_team": "Vlašim", "competition": "FNL", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "16:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1", "pick_probability": 54.0, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1 54.0%", "1X 77.4%", "Over 1.5 goals 71.6%", "BTTS Yes 59.8%", "Over 6.5 corners 67.3%", "Over 2.5 cards 63.8%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1", "probability": 54.0, "confidence": 0.527}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 77.4, "confidence": 0.658}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 51.1, "confidence": 0.504}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 89.6, "under": 10.4, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 89.6}, "1.5": {"over": 71.6, "under": 28.4, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 71.6}, "2.5": {"over": 48.9, "under": 51.1, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 51.1}, "3.5": {"over": 35.6, "under": 64.4, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 64.4}, "4.5": {"over": 17.6, "under": 82.4, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 82.4}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 59.8, "confidence": 0.562}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 67.3, "expected": 8.42, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.637, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.92}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 63.8, "expected": 3.65, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.602, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.15}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 54.0, "draw": 23.4, "away": 22.5}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.7, "over_2_5": 48.9, "under_2_5": 51.1, "btts": 59.8, "no_btts": 40.2, "expected_corners": 8.42, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 67.3, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.92}, "corners_over_8_5": 49.3, "expected_cards": 3.65, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 63.8, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.15}, "cards_over_3_5": 51.8, "data_depth": 13}, "confidence": 0.527, "reason_score": 42.89, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Karviná vs Vlašim", "1X2 probabilities: 1=54.0%, X=23.4%, 2=22.5%", "Double chance priority: 1X 77.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 71.6%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.42", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.65", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}