Kingston City vs Springvale

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Kingston City vs Springvale
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=31.8%, X=23.8%, 2=44.4%
• Double chance priority: 12 76.2% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 82.4%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 8.5 corners expected 10.34
• Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.4
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "58e0235a-5252-5635-81fa-180df8831a47", "title": "Kingston City vs Springvale", "home_team": "Kingston City", "away_team": "Springvale", "competition": "Victoria Premier League 2", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "09:45", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 76.2, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 76.2%", "12 76.2%", "Over 0.5 goals 82.4%", "BTTS No 54.1%", "Over 8.5 corners 66.6%", "Over 1.5 cards 72.8%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 76.2, "confidence": 0.644}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 76.2, "confidence": 0.646}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 58.2, "confidence": 0.546}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 82.4, "under": 17.6, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 82.4}, "1.5": {"over": 64.4, "under": 35.6, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 64.4}, "2.5": {"over": 41.8, "under": 58.2, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 58.2}, "3.5": {"over": 28.4, "under": 71.6, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 71.6}, "4.5": {"over": 10.4, "under": 89.6, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 89.6}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 82.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.8}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 82.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.8}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 54.1, "confidence": 0.505}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "probability": 66.6, "expected": 10.34, "line": 8.5, "confidence": 0.63, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "line": 8.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.84}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 72.8, "expected": 3.4, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.692, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 72.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 31.8, "draw": 23.8, "away": 44.4}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.3, "over_2_5": 41.8, "under_2_5": 58.2, "btts": 45.9, "no_btts": 54.1, "expected_corners": 10.34, "corners_line": 8.5, "corners_pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "corners_probability": 66.6, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "line": 8.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.84}, "corners_over_8_5": 66.6, "expected_cards": 3.4, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 72.8, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 72.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}, "cards_over_3_5": 48.8, "data_depth": 10}, "confidence": 0.644, "reason_score": 63.34, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Kingston City vs Springvale", "1X2 probabilities: 1=31.8%, X=23.8%, 2=44.4%", "Double chance priority: 12 76.2% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 82.4%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 8.5 corners expected 10.34", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.4", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}