Match analysis

Back

Nürnberg II vs SpVgg Unterhaching

Score 141.7Confidence 0.65Kind subet

Model notes

  • Team DNA comparison: Nürnberg II vs SpVgg Unterhaching
  • 1X2 probabilities: 1=52.9%, X=23.6%, 2=23.4%
  • Double chance priority: 1X 76.5% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
  • Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 73.4%
  • Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
  • Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.64
  • Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.24
  • Importance weight: 1.0
  • Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "baf6369e-5fd7-5816-8e2a-9090995dc35d", "title": "Nürnberg II vs SpVgg Unterhaching", "home_team": "Nürnberg II", "away_team": "SpVgg Unterhaching", "competition": "Regionalliga - Bayern", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "16:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 76.5, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 76.5%", "1X 76.5%", "Over 1.5 goals 73.4%", "BTTS No 45.2%", "Over 6.5 corners 69.3%", "Over 1.5 cards 70.9%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 76.5, "confidence": 0.646}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 76.5, "confidence": 0.649}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 46.7, "confidence": 0.504}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 91.4, "under": 8.6, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 91.4}, "1.5": {"over": 73.4, "under": 26.6, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 73.4}, "2.5": {"over": 53.3, "under": 46.7, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 53.3}, "3.5": {"over": 37.4, "under": 62.6, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 62.6}, "4.5": {"over": 19.4, "under": 80.6, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 80.6}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 73.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.3}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 73.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.3}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 45.2, "confidence": 0.504}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 69.3, "expected": 8.64, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.657, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.3, "edge_from_expected": 2.14}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 70.9, "expected": 3.24, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.673, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.9, "edge_from_expected": 1.74}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 52.9, "draw": 23.6, "away": 23.4}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.8, "over_2_5": 53.3, "under_2_5": 46.7, "btts": 54.8, "no_btts": 45.2, "expected_corners": 8.64, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 69.3, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.3, "edge_from_expected": 2.14}, "corners_over_8_5": 51.3, "expected_cards": 3.24, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 70.9, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.9, "edge_from_expected": 1.74}, "cards_over_3_5": 46.9, "data_depth": 13}, "confidence": 0.646, "reason_score": 63.73, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Nürnberg II vs SpVgg Unterhaching", "1X2 probabilities: 1=52.9%, X=23.6%, 2=23.4%", "Double chance priority: 1X 76.5% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 73.4%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.64", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.24", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}