Match analysis
BackNykobing FC vs Fremad Amager
Score 138.7Confidence 0.63Kind subet
Model notes
- Team DNA comparison: Nykobing FC vs Fremad Amager
- 1X2 probabilities: 1=49.7%, X=24.2%, 2=26.1%
- Double chance priority: 1X 73.9% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
- Conservative totals: Over 2.5 goals 71.6%
- Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
- Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 8.95
- Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 2.99
- Importance weight: 1.0
- Coverage: partial
Raw profile
{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "a054365b-b60e-59b0-bd73-7510b519dd2d", "title": "Nykobing FC vs Fremad Amager", "home_team": "Nykobing FC", "away_team": "Fremad Amager", "competition": "2. Division", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "17:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 73.9, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 73.9%", "1X 73.9%", "Over 2.5 goals 71.6%", "BTTS Yes 71.0%", "Over 7.5 corners 63.0%", "Over 1.5 cards 67.9%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 73.9, "confidence": 0.632}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 73.9, "confidence": 0.623}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 71.1, "confidence": 0.675}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 89.6, "under": 10.4, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 89.6}, "2.5": {"over": 71.1, "under": 28.9, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 71.1}, "3.5": {"over": 53.6, "under": 46.4, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 53.6}, "4.5": {"over": 35.6, "under": 64.4, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 64.4}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 goals", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 2.5 goals", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 71.0, "confidence": 0.674}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 63.0, "expected": 8.95, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.594, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.45}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 67.9, "expected": 2.99, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.643, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.9, "edge_from_expected": 1.49}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 49.7, "draw": 24.2, "away": 26.1}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 3.7, "over_2_5": 71.1, "under_2_5": 28.9, "btts": 71.0, "no_btts": 29.0, "expected_corners": 8.95, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 63.0, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.45}, "corners_over_8_5": 54.0, "expected_cards": 2.99, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 67.9, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.9, "edge_from_expected": 1.49}, "cards_over_3_5": 43.9, "data_depth": 13}, "confidence": 0.632, "reason_score": 60.65, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Nykobing FC vs Fremad Amager", "1X2 probabilities: 1=49.7%, X=24.2%, 2=26.1%", "Double chance priority: 1X 73.9% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 2.5 goals 71.6%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 8.95", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 2.99", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}