O'Higgins vs Boca Juniors

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: O'Higgins vs Boca Juniors
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=49.0%, X=25.9%, 2=25.1%
• Double chance priority: 1X 74.9% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 81.1%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.74
• Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.26
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "e5e9003c-51f5-588e-b6bc-99bd30c7d87c", "title": "O'Higgins vs Boca Juniors", "home_team": "O'Higgins", "away_team": "Boca Juniors", "competition": "CONMEBOL Sudamericana", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "00:30", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 74.9, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 74.9%", "1X 74.9%", "Over 0.5 goals 81.1%", "BTTS No 50.3%", "Over 6.5 corners 70.2%", "Over 1.5 cards 71.1%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 74.9, "confidence": 0.637}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 74.9, "confidence": 0.633}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 59.5, "confidence": 0.559}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 81.1, "under": 18.9, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 81.1}, "1.5": {"over": 63.1, "under": 36.9, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 63.1}, "2.5": {"over": 40.5, "under": 59.5, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 59.5}, "3.5": {"over": 27.1, "under": 72.9, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 72.9}, "4.5": {"over": 9.1, "under": 90.9, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 90.9}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 81.1, "edge_from_expected": 1.73}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 81.1, "edge_from_expected": 1.73}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 50.3, "confidence": 0.504}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 70.2, "expected": 8.74, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.666, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.2, "edge_from_expected": 2.24}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 71.1, "expected": 3.26, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.675, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.1, "edge_from_expected": 1.76}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 49.0, "draw": 25.9, "away": 25.1}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.23, "over_2_5": 40.5, "under_2_5": 59.5, "btts": 49.7, "no_btts": 50.3, "expected_corners": 8.74, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 70.2, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.2, "edge_from_expected": 2.24}, "corners_over_8_5": 52.2, "expected_cards": 3.26, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 71.1, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.1, "edge_from_expected": 1.76}, "cards_over_3_5": 47.1, "data_depth": 964}, "confidence": 0.637, "reason_score": 61.8, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: O'Higgins vs Boca Juniors", "1X2 probabilities: 1=49.0%, X=25.9%, 2=25.1%", "Double chance priority: 1X 74.9% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 81.1%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.74", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.26", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}