Preston Lions vs Green Gully

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Preston Lions vs Green Gully
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=51.3%, X=23.9%, 2=24.8%
• Double chance priority: 1X 75.2% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 2.5 goals 71.6%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 8.5 corners expected 9.79
• Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.37
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "5dac3778-74c0-55ca-b99a-24276903345f", "title": "Preston Lions vs Green Gully", "home_team": "Preston Lions", "away_team": "Green Gully", "competition": "Victoria NPL", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "10:30", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 75.2, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 75.2%", "1X 75.2%", "Over 2.5 goals 71.6%", "BTTS Yes 80.1%", "Over 8.5 corners 61.6%", "Over 1.5 cards 72.4%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 75.2, "confidence": 0.639}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 75.2, "confidence": 0.636}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 71.1, "confidence": 0.675}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 89.6, "under": 10.4, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 89.6}, "2.5": {"over": 71.1, "under": 28.9, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 71.1}, "3.5": {"over": 53.6, "under": 46.4, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 53.6}, "4.5": {"over": 35.6, "under": 64.4, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 64.4}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 goals", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 2.5 goals", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 80.1, "confidence": 0.765}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "probability": 61.6, "expected": 9.79, "line": 8.5, "confidence": 0.58, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "line": 8.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 61.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.29}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 72.4, "expected": 3.37, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.688, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 72.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.87}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 51.3, "draw": 23.9, "away": 24.8}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 3.7, "over_2_5": 71.1, "under_2_5": 28.9, "btts": 80.1, "no_btts": 19.9, "expected_corners": 9.79, "corners_line": 8.5, "corners_pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "corners_probability": 61.6, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "line": 8.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 61.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.29}, "corners_over_8_5": 61.6, "expected_cards": 3.37, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 72.4, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 72.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.87}, "cards_over_3_5": 48.4, "data_depth": 9}, "confidence": 0.639, "reason_score": 62.18, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Preston Lions vs Green Gully", "1X2 probabilities: 1=51.3%, X=23.9%, 2=24.8%", "Double chance priority: 1X 75.2% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 2.5 goals 71.6%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 8.5 corners expected 9.79", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.37", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}