Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=43.2%, X=25.4%, 2=31.4%
• Double chance priority: 1X 68.6% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 7.8
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.94
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "97743f65-4fc7-5fea-8daf-f96488621aca", "title": "Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans", "home_team": "Prospect United", "away_team": "Blacktown Spartans", "competition": "New South Wales NPL 2", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "10:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 68.6, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 68.6%", "1X 68.6%", "Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "BTTS No 51.6%", "Over 6.5 corners 61.7%", "Over 2.5 cards 67.3%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.6, "confidence": 0.487}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 68.6, "confidence": 0.462}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 57.4, "confidence": 0.43}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 84.2, "under": 15.8, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 84.2}, "1.5": {"over": 66.2, "under": 33.8, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 66.2}, "2.5": {"over": 42.6, "under": 57.4, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 57.4}, "3.5": {"over": 30.2, "under": 69.8, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 69.8}, "4.5": {"over": 12.2, "under": 87.8, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 87.8}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 84.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.9}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 51.6, "confidence": 0.396}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 61.7, "expected": 7.8, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.473, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 61.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.3}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 67.3, "expected": 3.94, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.529, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.44}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 43.2, "draw": 25.4, "away": 31.4}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.4, "over_2_5": 42.6, "under_2_5": 57.4, "btts": 48.4, "no_btts": 51.6, "expected_corners": 7.8, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 61.7, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 61.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.3}, "corners_over_8_5": 43.7, "expected_cards": 3.94, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 67.3, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.3, "edge_from_expected": 1.44}, "cards_over_3_5": 55.3, "data_depth": 7}, "confidence": 0.487, "reason_score": 46.61, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans", "1X2 probabilities: 1=43.2%, X=25.4%, 2=31.4%", "Double chance priority: 1X 68.6% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 84.2%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 7.8", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.94", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}