Rodina Moskva vs FC Rostov

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Rodina Moskva vs FC Rostov
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=46.5%, X=24.8%, 2=28.7%
• Double chance priority: 1X 71.3% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.47
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.87
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "2516e053-877f-503e-a53c-bf66cb06aecb", "title": "Rodina Moskva vs FC Rostov", "home_team": "Rodina Moskva", "away_team": "FC Rostov", "competition": "Premier League", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "17:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 71.3, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 71.3%", "1X 71.3%", "Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "BTTS Yes 86%", "Over 7.5 corners 67.7%", "Over 2.5 cards 66.4%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 71.3, "confidence": 0.501}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 71.3, "confidence": 0.489}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88, "confidence": 0.736}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 95.0}, "2.5": {"over": 88.0, "under": 12.0, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88.0}, "3.5": {"over": 77.0, "under": 23.0, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 77.0}, "4.5": {"over": 59.0, "under": 41.0, "pick": "Over 4.5", "probability": 59.0}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 86, "confidence": 0.716}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 67.7, "expected": 9.47, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.533, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.97}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 66.4, "expected": 3.87, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.52, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.37}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 46.5, "draw": 24.8, "away": 28.7}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 5.0, "over_2_5": 88, "under_2_5": 12, "btts": 86, "no_btts": 14, "expected_corners": 9.47, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 67.7, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.97}, "corners_over_8_5": 58.7, "expected_cards": 3.87, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 66.4, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 66.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.37}, "cards_over_3_5": 54.4, "data_depth": 3}, "confidence": 0.501, "reason_score": 49.3, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Rodina Moskva vs FC Rostov", "1X2 probabilities: 1=46.5%, X=24.8%, 2=28.7%", "Double chance priority: 1X 71.3% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.47", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.87", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}