Sparta Praha vs Zlin

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Sparta Praha vs Zlin
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=40.2%, X=31.2%, 2=28.6%
• Double chance priority: 1X 71.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 80.6%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.02
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.17
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "d991c3f1-8640-5e78-bb79-35f7b63390d0", "title": "Sparta Praha vs Zlin", "home_team": "Sparta Praha", "away_team": "Zlin", "competition": "Czech Liga", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "17:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 71.4, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 71.4%", "1X 71.4%", "Over 0.5 goals 80.6%", "BTTS No 55.4%", "Over 6.5 corners 63.7%", "Over 2.5 cards 70.0%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 71.4, "confidence": 0.619}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 71.4, "confidence": 0.598}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 61.4, "confidence": 0.578}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 80.6, "under": 19.4, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 80.6}, "1.5": {"over": 62.6, "under": 37.4, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 62.6}, "2.5": {"over": 38.6, "under": 61.4, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 61.4}, "3.5": {"over": 26.6, "under": 73.4, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 73.4}, "4.5": {"over": 8.6, "under": 91.4, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 91.4}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 80.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 0.5 goals", "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 80.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS No", "probability": 55.4, "confidence": 0.518}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 63.7, "expected": 8.02, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.601, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.52}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 70.0, "expected": 4.17, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.664, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.67}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 40.2, "draw": 31.2, "away": 28.6}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.2, "over_2_5": 38.6, "under_2_5": 61.4, "btts": 44.6, "no_btts": 55.4, "expected_corners": 8.02, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 63.7, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 63.7, "edge_from_expected": 1.52}, "corners_over_8_5": 45.7, "expected_cards": 4.17, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 70.0, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.67}, "cards_over_3_5": 58.0, "data_depth": 20}, "confidence": 0.619, "reason_score": 57.79, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Sparta Praha vs Zlin", "1X2 probabilities: 1=40.2%, X=31.2%, 2=28.6%", "Double chance priority: 1X 71.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 0.5 goals 80.6%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.02", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.17", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}