Match analysis
BackSportfreunde Schwaig vs Gundelfingen
Score 126.6Confidence 0.50Kind subet
Model notes
- Team DNA comparison: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Gundelfingen
- 1X2 probabilities: 1=45.6%, X=25.0%, 2=29.4%
- Double chance priority: 1X 70.6% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
- Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%
- Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
- Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.53
- Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.24
- Importance weight: 1.0
- Coverage: partial
Raw profile
{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "43fc4081-65d5-5e8a-a16a-4525a29d6bc2", "title": "Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Gundelfingen", "home_team": "Sportfreunde Schwaig", "away_team": "Gundelfingen", "competition": "Oberliga - Bayern Süd", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "17:30", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 70.6, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 70.6%", "1X 70.6%", "Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "BTTS Yes 86%", "Over 6.5 corners 68.3%", "Over 2.5 cards 70.9%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 70.6, "confidence": 0.498}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 70.6, "confidence": 0.482}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88, "confidence": 0.736}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 95.0}, "2.5": {"over": 88.0, "under": 12.0, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88.0}, "3.5": {"over": 77.0, "under": 23.0, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 77.0}, "4.5": {"over": 59.0, "under": 41.0, "pick": "Over 4.5", "probability": 59.0}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 86, "confidence": 0.716}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 68.3, "expected": 8.53, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.539, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.3, "edge_from_expected": 2.03}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 70.9, "expected": 4.24, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.565, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.9, "edge_from_expected": 1.74}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 45.6, "draw": 25.0, "away": 29.4}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 5.0, "over_2_5": 88, "under_2_5": 12, "btts": 86, "no_btts": 14, "expected_corners": 8.53, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 68.3, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.3, "edge_from_expected": 2.03}, "corners_over_8_5": 50.3, "expected_cards": 4.24, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 70.9, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 70.9, "edge_from_expected": 1.74}, "cards_over_3_5": 58.9, "data_depth": 8}, "confidence": 0.498, "reason_score": 48.64, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Gundelfingen", "1X2 probabilities: 1=45.6%, X=25.0%, 2=29.4%", "Double chance priority: 1X 70.6% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.53", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.24", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}