Match analysis

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Suwon FMC W vs Gumi Sportstoto W

Score 121.0Confidence 0.53Kind subet

Model notes

  • Team DNA comparison: Suwon FMC W vs Gumi Sportstoto W
  • 1X2 probabilities: 1=54.1%, X=23.4%, 2=22.5%
  • Double chance priority: 1X 77.5% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
  • Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 71.6%
  • Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
  • Corners: Over 8.5 corners expected 10.19
  • Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.54
  • Importance weight: 1.0
  • Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "67d7e160-dc2e-587e-ac63-9cfb8888b08b", "title": "Suwon FMC W vs Gumi Sportstoto W", "home_team": "Suwon FMC W", "away_team": "Gumi Sportstoto W", "competition": "WK-League", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "10:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1", "pick_probability": 54.1, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1 54.1%", "1X 77.5%", "Over 1.5 goals 71.6%", "BTTS Yes 57.7%", "Over 8.5 corners 65.2%", "Over 2.5 cards 62.5%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1", "probability": 54.1, "confidence": 0.528}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 77.5, "confidence": 0.659}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 50.9, "confidence": 0.504}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 89.6, "under": 10.4, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 89.6}, "1.5": {"over": 71.6, "under": 28.4, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 71.6}, "2.5": {"over": 49.1, "under": 50.9, "pick": "Under 2.5", "probability": 50.9}, "3.5": {"over": 35.6, "under": 64.4, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 64.4}, "4.5": {"over": 17.6, "under": 82.4, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 82.4}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 57.7, "confidence": 0.541}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "probability": 65.2, "expected": 10.19, "line": 8.5, "confidence": 0.616, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "line": 8.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.69}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 62.5, "expected": 3.54, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.589, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 62.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.04}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 54.1, "draw": 23.4, "away": 22.5}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 2.7, "over_2_5": 49.1, "under_2_5": 50.9, "btts": 57.7, "no_btts": 42.3, "expected_corners": 10.19, "corners_line": 8.5, "corners_pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "corners_probability": 65.2, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 8.5 corners", "line": 8.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.2, "edge_from_expected": 1.69}, "corners_over_8_5": 65.2, "expected_cards": 3.54, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 62.5, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 62.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.04}, "cards_over_3_5": 50.5, "data_depth": 10}, "confidence": 0.528, "reason_score": 43.01, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Suwon FMC W vs Gumi Sportstoto W", "1X2 probabilities: 1=54.1%, X=23.4%, 2=22.5%", "Double chance priority: 1X 77.5% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 71.6%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 8.5 corners expected 10.19", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.54", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}