Match analysis
BackSV Drochtersen/Assel vs Phönix Lübeck
Score 141.7Confidence 0.65Kind subet
Model notes
- Team DNA comparison: SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Phönix Lübeck
- 1X2 probabilities: 1=52.8%, X=23.7%, 2=23.5%
- Double chance priority: 1X 76.5% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
- Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 80.6%
- Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
- Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.17
- Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.04
- Importance weight: 1.0
- Coverage: partial
Raw profile
{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "26a9f841-0da1-51fd-8073-b6a45c9b24a5", "title": "SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Phönix Lübeck", "home_team": "SV Drochtersen/Assel", "away_team": "Phönix Lübeck", "competition": "Regionalliga - Nord", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "17:30", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 76.5, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 76.5%", "1X 76.5%", "Over 1.5 goals 80.6%", "BTTS Yes 57.3%", "Over 6.5 corners 65.0%", "Over 1.5 cards 68.5%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 76.5, "confidence": 0.646}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 76.5, "confidence": 0.649}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 58.5, "confidence": 0.549}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 80.6, "under": 19.4, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 80.6}, "2.5": {"over": 58.5, "under": 41.5, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 58.5}, "3.5": {"over": 44.6, "under": 55.4, "pick": "Under 3.5", "probability": 55.4}, "4.5": {"over": 26.6, "under": 73.4, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 73.4}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 80.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 1.5 goals", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 80.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 57.3, "confidence": 0.537}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "probability": 65.0, "expected": 8.17, "line": 6.5, "confidence": 0.614, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.67}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 68.5, "expected": 3.04, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.649, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.54}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 52.8, "draw": 23.7, "away": 23.5}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 3.2, "over_2_5": 58.5, "under_2_5": 41.5, "btts": 57.3, "no_btts": 42.7, "expected_corners": 8.17, "corners_line": 6.5, "corners_pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "corners_probability": 65.0, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 6.5 corners", "line": 6.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.67}, "corners_over_8_5": 47.0, "expected_cards": 3.04, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 68.5, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.5, "edge_from_expected": 1.54}, "cards_over_3_5": 44.5, "data_depth": 15}, "confidence": 0.646, "reason_score": 63.73, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Phönix Lübeck", "1X2 probabilities: 1=52.8%, X=23.7%, 2=23.5%", "Double chance priority: 1X 76.5% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 1.5 goals 80.6%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 6.5 corners expected 8.17", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 3.04", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}