União Santarém vs Academica

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: União Santarém vs Academica
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=47.6%, X=24.6%, 2=27.8%
• Double chance priority: 1X 72.2% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 2.5 goals 80.6%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.61
• Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 2.98
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "7e976e1b-d200-50bf-afd4-d84eadff3cb8", "title": "União Santarém vs Academica", "home_team": "União Santarém", "away_team": "Academica", "competition": "Friendlies Clubs", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "18:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 72.2, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 72.2%", "1X 72.2%", "Over 2.5 goals 80.6%", "BTTS Yes 79.9%", "Over 7.5 corners 69.0%", "Over 1.5 cards 67.8%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 72.2, "confidence": 0.623}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 72.2, "confidence": 0.606}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 78.5, "confidence": 0.749}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 95.0}, "2.5": {"over": 78.5, "under": 21.5, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 78.5}, "3.5": {"over": 62.6, "under": 37.4, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 62.6}, "4.5": {"over": 44.6, "under": 55.4, "pick": "Under 4.5", "probability": 55.4}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 goals", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 80.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 2.5 goals", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 80.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.7}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 79.9, "confidence": 0.763}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 69.0, "expected": 9.61, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.654, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.0, "edge_from_expected": 2.11}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "probability": 67.8, "expected": 2.98, "line": 1.5, "confidence": 0.642, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.48}}}, "confidence_label": "normal", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 47.6, "draw": 24.6, "away": 27.8}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 4.2, "over_2_5": 78.5, "under_2_5": 21.5, "btts": 79.9, "no_btts": 20.1, "expected_corners": 9.61, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 69.0, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 69.0, "edge_from_expected": 2.11}, "corners_over_8_5": 60.0, "expected_cards": 2.98, "cards_line": 1.5, "cards_pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "cards_probability": 67.8, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 1.5 cards", "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.48}, "cards_over_3_5": 43.8, "data_depth": 10}, "confidence": 0.623, "reason_score": 58.69, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: União Santarém vs Academica", "1X2 probabilities: 1=47.6%, X=24.6%, 2=27.8%", "Double chance priority: 1X 72.2% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 2.5 goals 80.6%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.61", "Cards: Over 1.5 cards expected 2.98", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}