Valerenga vs Ham-Kam

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Valerenga vs Ham-Kam
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=53.9%, X=23.5%, 2=22.6%
• Double chance priority: 1X 77.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 71.6%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.21
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.26
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "e927bafd-a5b9-5622-a8ac-04230a8149f1", "title": "Valerenga vs Ham-Kam", "home_team": "Valerenga", "away_team": "Ham-Kam", "competition": "Eliteserien", "date": "2026-07-31", "time": "17:00", "temporal_status": "today", "days_from_today": 0, "pick": "1X", "pick_probability": 77.4, "double_chance": "1X", "suggestions": ["1X 77.4%", "1X 77.4%", "Over 3.5 goals 71.6%", "BTTS Yes 86%", "Over 7.5 corners 65.4%", "Over 2.5 cards 71.1%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 77.4, "confidence": 0.534}, "double_chance": {"pick": "1X", "probability": 77.4, "confidence": 0.55}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88, "confidence": 0.736}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 95.0}, "2.5": {"over": 88.0, "under": 12.0, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88.0}, "3.5": {"over": 71.6, "under": 28.4, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 71.6}, "4.5": {"over": 53.6, "under": 46.4, "pick": "Over 4.5", "probability": 53.6}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.6, "edge_from_expected": 1.2}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 86, "confidence": 0.716}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 65.4, "expected": 9.21, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.51, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.71}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 71.1, "expected": 4.26, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.567, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.1, "edge_from_expected": 1.76}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 53.9, "draw": 23.5, "away": 22.6}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 4.7, "over_2_5": 88, "under_2_5": 12, "btts": 86, "no_btts": 14, "expected_corners": 9.21, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 65.4, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 65.4, "edge_from_expected": 1.71}, "corners_over_8_5": 56.4, "expected_cards": 4.26, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 71.1, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 71.1, "edge_from_expected": 1.76}, "cards_over_3_5": 59.1, "data_depth": 9}, "confidence": 0.534, "reason_score": 55.77, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Valerenga vs Ham-Kam", "1X2 probabilities: 1=53.9%, X=23.5%, 2=22.6%", "Double chance priority: 1X 77.4% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 71.6%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.21", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 4.26", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}