Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

Model notes

• Team DNA comparison: Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord
• 1X2 probabilities: 1=39.5%, X=25.2%, 2=35.3%
• Double chance priority: 12 74.8% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)
• Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%
• Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.
• Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.52
• Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.98
• Importance weight: 1.0
• Coverage: partial

Raw profile

{"mode": "subet_prediction_v040", "match_key": "f9d04ddd-4e59-5580-acaf-9a06a79fd82d", "title": "Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord", "home_team": "Sparta Rotterdam", "away_team": "Feyenoord", "competition": "Dutch Eredivisie", "date": "2026-08-09", "time": "10:15", "temporal_status": "upcoming", "days_from_today": 9, "pick": "12", "pick_probability": 74.8, "double_chance": "12", "suggestions": ["12 74.8%", "12 74.8%", "Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "BTTS Yes 86%", "Over 7.5 corners 68.2%", "Over 2.5 cards 67.8%"], "market_pack": {"1x2": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.8, "confidence": 0.52}, "double_chance": {"pick": "12", "probability": 74.8, "confidence": 0.524}, "over_under_2_5": {"pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88, "confidence": 0.736}, "over_under_lines": {"0.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 0.5", "probability": 95.0}, "1.5": {"over": 95.0, "under": 5.0, "pick": "Over 1.5", "probability": 95.0}, "2.5": {"over": 88.0, "under": 12.0, "pick": "Over 2.5", "probability": 88.0}, "3.5": {"over": 77.0, "under": 23.0, "pick": "Over 3.5", "probability": 77.0}, "4.5": {"over": 59.0, "under": 41.0, "pick": "Over 4.5", "probability": 59.0}, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}}, "conservative_total": {"pick": "Over 3.5 goals", "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 77.0, "edge_from_expected": 1.5}, "btts": {"pick": "BTTS Yes", "probability": 86, "confidence": 0.716}, "corners": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "probability": 68.2, "expected": 9.52, "line": 7.5, "confidence": 0.538, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.2, "edge_from_expected": 2.02}}, "cards": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "probability": 67.8, "expected": 3.98, "line": 2.5, "confidence": 0.534, "conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.48}}}, "confidence_label": "lean", "model_note": "team_dna_v050", "probabilities": {"home": 39.5, "draw": 25.2, "away": 35.3}, "markets": {"expected_goals": 5.0, "over_2_5": 88, "under_2_5": 12, "btts": 86, "no_btts": 14, "expected_corners": 9.52, "corners_line": 7.5, "corners_pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "corners_probability": 68.2, "corners_conservative": {"pick": "Over 7.5 corners", "line": 7.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 68.2, "edge_from_expected": 2.02}, "corners_over_8_5": 59.2, "expected_cards": 3.98, "cards_line": 2.5, "cards_pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "cards_probability": 67.8, "cards_conservative": {"pick": "Over 2.5 cards", "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "probability": 67.8, "edge_from_expected": 1.48}, "cards_over_3_5": 55.8, "data_depth": 6}, "confidence": 0.52, "reason_score": 47.97, "importance_weight": 1.0, "coverage_status": "partial", "conservative": true, "explain": ["Team DNA comparison: Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord", "1X2 probabilities: 1=39.5%, X=25.2%, 2=35.3%", "Double chance priority: 12 74.8% (favourite+draw preferred over 12 when close)", "Conservative totals: Over 3.5 goals 77.0%", "Corners/cards are moved away from borderline lines.", "Corners: Over 7.5 corners expected 9.52", "Cards: Over 2.5 cards expected 3.98", "Importance weight: 1.0", "Coverage: partial"]}